Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Moron to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Moron to win64% · @1.80
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score59% · @1.33
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–027% · fair 3.76
Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Deportivo Moron take on Central Norte on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano. Deportivo Moron are 3rd with 61 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Central Norte sit 16th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Moron and 0.3 for Central Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Moron 64%, draw 22%, Central Norte 14%.
Both teams to score: no (59%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Deportivo Moron to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Central Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Moron64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @2.80
Central Norte14%fair 7.22 · @5.40
1.51Expected goals
1.20Deportivo Moron xG
0.31Central Norte xG
41%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–027%
0–022%
2–016%
1–18%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.2 – 0.3 Central Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Moron to win
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Moron or draw
86%
1.16
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
59%
1.71
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.90
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
27%
3.76
–
Form
Deportivo Moron – last 1
W
26 Feb
@ Godoy Cruz
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Central Norte – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ San Miguel
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Moron and Central Norte.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte?
On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Central Norte 14%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Central Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte?
Deportivo Moron vs Central Norte (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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