Rio Ave U23 vs União Leiria U23 prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Rio Ave U23 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRio Ave U23 to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceRio Ave U23 or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.48
Rio Ave U23 vs União Leiria U23 preview and prediction
The match
Rio Ave U23 host União Leiria U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 on Thursday 19 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Rio Ave U23 are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while União Leiria U23 sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Rio Ave U23 and 1.0 for União Leiria U23. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rio Ave U23 or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rio Ave U23 1–0 União Leiria U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rio Ave U2358%fair 1.73 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.60
União Leiria U2317%fair 5.74 · @3.60
2.90Expected goals
1.92Rio Ave U23 xG
0.98União Leiria U23 xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Rio Ave U23 1.9 – 1.0 União Leiria U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rio Ave U23 to win✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Double chance
Rio Ave U23 or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Rio Ave U23 ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rio Ave U23 / FT Rio Ave U23✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.48
–
Form
Rio Ave U23
No recent results on record.
União Leiria U23 – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Portimonense U23
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rio Ave U23 and União Leiria U23.
What is the prediction for Rio Ave U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Our pick is Rio Ave U23 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rio Ave U23 vs União Leiria U23?
On our numbers Rio Ave U23 have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and União Leiria U23 17%.
How many goals will there be in Rio Ave U23 vs União Leiria U23?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rio Ave U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Our predicted score is Rio Ave U23 1–0 União Leiria U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rio Ave U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Rio Ave U23 vs União Leiria U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
