Value bet: Estrela U23 to win @ 1.60 – our chance 68% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstrela U23 to win ✗68% · @1.60
Double chanceEstrela U23 or draw ✗89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Estrela U23 vs Marítimo U23 preview and prediction
The match
Marítimo U23 travel to face Estrela U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 on Thursday 19 February (16:00 WAT). Estrela U23 are 19th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Marítimo U23 sit 20th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Estrela U23 and 0.8 for Marítimo U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Estrela U23 to win at 1.60 – 68% on our numbers against 63% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Estrela U23 2–0 Marítimo U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estrela U2368%fair 1.47 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.70
Marítimo U2311%fair 8.87 · @5.00
2.88Expected goals
2.13Estrela U23 xG
0.76Marítimo U23 xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Estrela U23 2.1 – 0.8 Marítimo U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrela U23 to win✗
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Estrela U23 or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Half-time result
Estrela U23 ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estrela U23 / FT Estrela U23✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Estrela U23
No recent results on record.
Marítimo U23 – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Estoril U23
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrela U23 and Marítimo U23.
What is the prediction for Estrela U23 vs Marítimo U23?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estrela U23 vs Marítimo U23?
On our numbers Estrela U23 have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Marítimo U23 11%.
How many goals will there be in Estrela U23 vs Marítimo U23?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrela U23 vs Marítimo U23?
Our predicted score is Estrela U23 2–0 Marítimo U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Estrela U23 vs Marítimo U23?
Estrela U23 vs Marítimo U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
