Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMornar to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceMornar or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.87
Mladost DG vs Mornar preview and prediction
The match
Mornar travel to DG Arena in the First League on Sunday 26 April (13:00 WAT) to face Mladost DG. Mladost DG are 9th with 12 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Mornar sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mladost DG's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Dečić 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Mornar's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Jezero 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mornar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Mornar 3–0 Mladost DG.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Mladost DG and 1.8 for Mornar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mornar or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Mladost DG 0–1 Mornar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mladost DG18%fair 5.68 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Mornar58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
2.63Expected goals
0.87Mladost DG xG
1.76Mornar xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Mladost DG 0.9 – 1.8 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Mornar or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mladost DG vs Mornar?
On our numbers Mladost DG have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mornar 58%.
How many goals will there be in Mladost DG vs Mornar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mladost DG vs Mornar?
Our predicted score is Mladost DG 0–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mladost DG vs Mornar?
Mladost DG vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at DG Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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