Arsenal Tivat host Mornar in the First League on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadion u Parku. Arsenal Tivat are 10th with 9 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Mornar sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arsenal Tivat's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Jedinstvo 2–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mornar's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Sutjeska 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Mornar 1–2 Arsenal Tivat.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Arsenal Tivat and 1.3 for Mornar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Tivat 30%, draw 24%, Mornar 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arsenal Tivat 1–1 Mornar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Tivat30%fair 3.29 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.88
Mornar46%fair 2.17 · @2.15
2.32Expected goals
1.00Arsenal Tivat xG
1.32Mornar xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tivat 1.0 – 1.3 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
On our numbers Arsenal Tivat have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mornar 46%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tivat 1–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion u Parku.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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