Value bet: Jezero to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMladost DG to win ✓37% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Mladost DG vs Jezero preview and prediction
The match
Jezero travel to DG Arena in the First League on Sunday 15 March (15:00 WAT) to face Mladost DG. Mladost DG are 9th with 12 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Jezero sit 8th on 18 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Mladost DG's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Petrovac 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jezero's last 4: LDDL Most recently they lost to Dečić 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Mladost DG arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Mladost DG and 1.4 for Jezero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mladost DG 37%, draw 25%, Jezero 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Jezero to win at 3.25 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mladost DG 1–1 Jezero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mladost DG37%fair 2.68 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.88
Jezero37%fair 2.69 · @3.25
2.77Expected goals
1.39Mladost DG xG
1.38Jezero xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Mladost DG 1.4 – 1.4 Jezero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mladost DG to win✓
37%
2.68
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mladost DG / FT Mladost DG✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Mladost DG – last 5
LLWDD
11 Mar
@ Petrovac
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Mornar
0–3
L
25 Feb
vs Jedinstvo
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Bokelj
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Grbalj
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Jezero – last 4
LDDL
11 Mar
vs Dečić
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Sutjeska
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Bokelj
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Petrovac
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mladost DG and Jezero.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Mladost DG vs Jezero?
On our numbers Mladost DG have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Jezero 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mladost DG vs Jezero?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mladost DG vs Jezero?
Our predicted score is Mladost DG 1–1 Jezero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mladost DG vs Jezero?
Mladost DG vs Jezero (First League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at DG Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.