Value bet: Mornar to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMornar to win ✓51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Bokelj vs Mornar preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Bokelj take on Mornar on Wednesday 11 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion pod Vrmcem. Bokelj are 6th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Mornar sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Bokelj's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Jedinstvo 1–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mornar's last 4: WDLD Most recently they beat Mladost DG 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mornar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Bokelj and 1.5 for Mornar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bokelj 26%, draw 24%, Mornar 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Mornar to win at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bokelj 1–1 Mornar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bokelj26%fair 3.91 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.75
Mornar51%fair 1.98 · @2.10
2.54Expected goals
1.00Bokelj xG
1.54Mornar xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bokelj 1.0 – 1.5 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mornar to win✓
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mornar / FT Mornar✓
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.25
–
Form
Bokelj – last 3
LDD
1 Mar
vs Jedinstvo
1–4
L
25 Feb
@ Jezero
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Mladost DG
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mornar – last 4
WDLD
1 Mar
vs Mladost DG
3–0
W
25 Feb
@ Dečić
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Arsenal Tivat
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sutjeska
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bokelj and Mornar.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Bokelj vs Mornar?
On our numbers Bokelj have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mornar 51%.
How many goals will there be in Bokelj vs Mornar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bokelj vs Mornar?
Our predicted score is Bokelj 1–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bokelj vs Mornar?
Bokelj vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Vrmcem.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jedinstvo2