Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMornar to win ✗68% · @1.55
Double chanceMornar or draw ✗87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat preview and prediction
The match
Mornar host Arsenal Tivat in the First League on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Topolica. Mornar are 3rd with 24 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Arsenal Tivat sit 10th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Mornar and 0.6 for Arsenal Tivat. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mornar 68%, draw 19%, Arsenal Tivat 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mornar to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mornar 1–0 Arsenal Tivat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mornar68%fair 1.47 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.40
Arsenal Tivat13%fair 7.84 · @5.75
2.35Expected goals
1.77Mornar xG
0.57Arsenal Tivat xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Mornar 1.8 – 0.6 Arsenal Tivat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mornar to win✗
68%
1.47
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Mornar or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Mornar ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mornar / FT Mornar✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.89
–
Form
Mornar – last 1
D
14 Feb
@ Sutjeska
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tivat
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mornar and Arsenal Tivat.
What is the prediction for Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
Our pick is Mornar to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
On our numbers Mornar have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arsenal Tivat 13%.
How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
Our predicted score is Mornar 1–0 Arsenal Tivat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat (First League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jedinstvo1