Value bet: Ostersunds FK to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOstersunds FK to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Ostersunds FK vs Sandviken preview and prediction
The match
Ostersunds FK host Sandviken in the Superettan on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Jamtkraft Arena. Ostersunds FK are 4th with 49 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Sandviken sit 9th on 41 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ostersunds FK's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat IK brage 4–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sandviken's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Osters IF 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ostersunds FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Ostersunds FK and 1.0 for Sandviken. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ostersunds FK 57%, draw 20%, Sandviken 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Ostersunds FK to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Ostersunds FK 1–1 Sandviken. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ostersunds FK57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.40
Sandviken22%fair 4.45 · @3.75
2.81Expected goals
1.80Ostersunds FK xG
1.01Sandviken xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Ostersunds FK 1.8 – 1.0 Sandviken expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ostersunds FK to win✓
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
Ostersunds FK ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ostersunds FK / FT Ostersunds FK✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Ostersunds FK – last 6
WDWLWL
13 May
@ IK brage
4–2
W
9 May
vs Falkenbergs FF
2–2
D
3 May
vs IFK Varnamo
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Helsingborg
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Vasteras SK FK
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sandviken – last 6
LDLLLL
13 May
@ Osters IF
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Oddevold
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ Vasteras SK FK
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Falu BS
0–2
L
2 Mar
vs Gais
2–3
L
21 Feb
@ IFK Norrkoping
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ostersunds FK and Sandviken.
What is the prediction for Ostersunds FK vs Sandviken?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ostersunds FK vs Sandviken?
On our numbers Ostersunds FK have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sandviken 22%.
How many goals will there be in Ostersunds FK vs Sandviken?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ostersunds FK vs Sandviken?
Our predicted score is Ostersunds FK 1–1 Sandviken, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ostersunds FK vs Sandviken?
Ostersunds FK vs Sandviken (Superettan) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Jamtkraft Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
