Value bet: Falkenbergs FF to win @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFalkenbergs FF to win ✗50% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.75
Norrby IF vs Falkenbergs FF preview and prediction
The match
The Superettan sees Norrby IF take on Falkenbergs FF on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Borås Arena. Norrby IF are 14th with 28 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Falkenbergs FF sit 2nd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Norrby IF's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to IK brage 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Falkenbergs FF's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Ljungskile SK 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Falkenbergs FF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Norrby IF and 1.4 for Falkenbergs FF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Norrby IF 30%, draw 21%, Falkenbergs FF 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Falkenbergs FF to win at 2.30 – 50% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Norrby IF 0–1 Falkenbergs FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Norrby IF30%fair 3.38 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
Falkenbergs FF50%fair 2.02 · @2.30
2.38Expected goals
0.98Norrby IF xG
1.40Falkenbergs FF xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Norrby IF 1.0 – 1.4 Falkenbergs FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Falkenbergs FF to win✗
50%
2.02
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Falkenbergs FF / FT Falkenbergs FF✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.75
–
Form
Norrby IF – last 6
LLWLWL
5 Apr
vs IK brage
0–1
L
28 Mar
vs Skövde AIK
1–2
L
19 Mar
vs Dalstorps
4–1
W
7 Mar
@ Ljungskile SK
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Kongahälla
4–0
W
14 Feb
vs Jonkopings Sodra
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Falkenbergs FF – last 6
DWDLWW
6 Apr
vs Ljungskile SK
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
3 Mar
@ Landskrona BoIS
3–3
D
1 Mar
@ IF Brommapojkarna
1–4
L
21 Feb
@ Djurgardens IF
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Helsingborg
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Norrby IF and Falkenbergs FF.
What is the prediction for Norrby IF vs Falkenbergs FF?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Norrby IF vs Falkenbergs FF?
On our numbers Norrby IF have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Falkenbergs FF 50%.
How many goals will there be in Norrby IF vs Falkenbergs FF?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Norrby IF vs Falkenbergs FF?
Our predicted score is Norrby IF 0–1 Falkenbergs FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Norrby IF vs Falkenbergs FF?
Norrby IF vs Falkenbergs FF (Superettan) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Borås Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
