Value bet: Ostersunds FK to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHelsingborg to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.53
Helsingborg vs Ostersunds FK preview and prediction
The match
Helsingborg host Ostersunds FK in the Superettan on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Olympia. Helsingborg are 12th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Ostersunds FK sit 4th on 49 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Helsingborg's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Osters IF 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Ostersunds FK's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Varbergs BoIS FC 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ostersunds FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Helsingborg and 1.5 for Ostersunds FK. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Helsingborg 41%, draw 23%, Ostersunds FK 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Ostersunds FK to win at 3.40 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Helsingborg 1–1 Ostersunds FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Helsingborg41%fair 2.45 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.40
Ostersunds FK36%fair 2.77 · @3.40
3.08Expected goals
1.60Helsingborg xG
1.49Ostersunds FK xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Helsingborg 1.6 – 1.5 Ostersunds FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Helsingborg to win✓
41%
2.45
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Helsingborg / FT Helsingborg✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.53
–
Form
Helsingborg – last 5
WDLLL
3 Apr
vs Osters IF
4–1
W
8 Mar
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Sirius
1–4
L
22 Feb
@ IF Elfsborg
0–4
L
14 Feb
vs Falkenbergs FF
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Ostersunds FK – last 5
WLWDL
6 Apr
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Vasteras SK FK
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs trelleborgs FF
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ IFK Goteborg
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Helsingborg and Ostersunds FK.
What is the prediction for Helsingborg vs Ostersunds FK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Helsingborg vs Ostersunds FK?
On our numbers Helsingborg have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ostersunds FK 36%.
How many goals will there be in Helsingborg vs Ostersunds FK?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helsingborg vs Ostersunds FK?
Our predicted score is Helsingborg 1–1 Ostersunds FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Helsingborg vs Ostersunds FK?
Helsingborg vs Ostersunds FK (Superettan) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
