Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Orkla vs Melhus preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Division Girone 2 sees Orkla take on Melhus on Friday 22 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Orkla are 14th with 23 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Melhus sit 4th on 42 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Orkla's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat NTNUI 5–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Melhus's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Spjelkavik 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.6 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.4 for Orkla and 2.6 for Melhus. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orkla 19%, draw 19%, Melhus 61%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Orkla 1–2 Melhus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orkla19%fair 5.17 · @4.50
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @5.00
Melhus61%fair 1.63 · @1.44
4.03Expected goals
1.44Orkla xG
2.59Melhus xG
56%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Orkla 1.4 – 2.6 Melhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melhus to win✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Melhus ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melhus / FT Melhus✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Orkla – last 4
WLLW
14 May
@ NTNUI
5–1
W
2 May
@ Nardo
0–3
L
13 Apr
@ Rosenborg II
0–3
L
6 Apr
vs Strindheim
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Melhus – last 5
DDWDW
14 May
@ Spjelkavik
0–0
D
9 May
vs Nardo
2–2
D
27 Apr
vs Kvik Trondheim
4–0
W
13 Apr
vs NTNUI
3–3
D
7 Apr
@ Ranheim II
4–1
W
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orkla and Melhus.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Orkla vs Melhus?
On our numbers Orkla have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Melhus 61%.
How many goals will there be in Orkla vs Melhus?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orkla vs Melhus?
Our predicted score is Orkla 1–2 Melhus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Orkla vs Melhus?
Orkla vs Melhus (3. Division Girone 2) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
