Value bet: Spjelkavik to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolde II to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.19
Molde II vs Spjelkavik preview and prediction
The match
Molde II host Spjelkavik in the 3. Division Girone 2 on Friday 22 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Molde II are 5th with 38 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Spjelkavik sit 8th on 32 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Molde II's last 4: WLDD Most recently they beat Aalesund II 6–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game.
Spjelkavik's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Melhus 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Molde II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.1 for Molde II and 2.1 for Spjelkavik. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Molde II 40%, draw 20%, Spjelkavik 40%.
Value angle: Spjelkavik to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Molde II 2–2 Spjelkavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molde II40%fair 2.49 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.00
Spjelkavik40%fair 2.50 · @2.75
4.15Expected goals
2.08Molde II xG
2.07Spjelkavik xG
59%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–17%
3–25%
2–35%
From our goals model: Molde II 2.1 – 2.1 Spjelkavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde II to win✓
40%
2.49
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Molde II ahead at half-time✓
34%
2.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde II / FT Molde II✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.19
–
Form
Molde II – last 4
WLDD
14 May
@ Aalesund II
6–0
W
20 Apr
@ Kvik Trondheim
1–4
L
13 Apr
vs Ranheim II
5–5
D
7 Apr
@ Herd
3–3
D
3.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Spjelkavik – last 3
DLD
14 May
vs Melhus
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Herd
1–3
L
6 Apr
@ NTNUI
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molde II and Spjelkavik.
What is the prediction for Molde II vs Spjelkavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Molde II vs Spjelkavik?
On our numbers Molde II have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Spjelkavik 40%.
How many goals will there be in Molde II vs Spjelkavik?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde II vs Spjelkavik?
Our predicted score is Molde II 2–2 Spjelkavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Molde II vs Spjelkavik?
Molde II vs Spjelkavik (3. Division Girone 2) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
