Value bet: Stromsgodset to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStromsgodset to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗74% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.54
Stromsgodset vs Haugesund preview and prediction
The match
Haugesund travel to Marienlyst Stadion in the 1. Division on Sunday 18 October (13:30 WAT) to face Stromsgodset. Stromsgodset are 1st with 66 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Haugesund sit 2nd on 65 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Stromsgodset's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kongsvinger 5–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
Haugesund's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Lyn 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.7 for Stromsgodset and 1.6 for Haugesund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 74% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Stromsgodset to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Stromsgodset 2–1 Haugesund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stromsgodset60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @3.90
Haugesund22%fair 4.63 · @3.25
4.27Expected goals
2.67Stromsgodset xG
1.60Haugesund xG
74%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Stromsgodset 2.7 – 1.6 Haugesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stromsgodset to win✓
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Stromsgodset ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stromsgodset / FT Stromsgodset✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.54
–
Form
Stromsgodset – last 6
WWWWWW
14 Oct
vs Kongsvinger
5–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lyn
5–1
W
3 Oct
vs Asane
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Raufoss
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sandnes ULF
4–1
W
8 Sep
@ Asker
4–1
W
3.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Haugesund – last 6
WDWWWW
14 Oct
vs Lyn
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Sandnes ULF
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Stabaek
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Strommen
4–2
W
13 Sep
@ Moss
4–1
W
8 Sep
@ Djerv
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stromsgodset and Haugesund.
What is the prediction for Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?
On our numbers Stromsgodset have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Haugesund 22%.
How many goals will there be in Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?
Our predicted score is Stromsgodset 2–1 Haugesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Stromsgodset vs Haugesund?
Stromsgodset vs Haugesund (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Marienlyst Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
