Value bet: Moss to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLyn to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.62
Lyn vs Moss preview and prediction
The match
Lyn host Moss in the 1. Division on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Bislett Stadium. Lyn are 11th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Moss sit 13th on 32 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lyn's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Haugesund 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Moss's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Egersund 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.9 for Lyn and 1.8 for Moss. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lyn 40%, draw 21%, Moss 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Moss to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Lyn 1–1 Moss. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lyn40%fair 2.49 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Moss38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
3.69Expected goals
1.86Lyn xG
1.83Moss xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Lyn 1.9 – 1.8 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyn to win✓
40%
2.49
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyn / FT Lyn✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.62
–
Form
Lyn – last 6
LLLLWW
14 Oct
@ Haugesund
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Stromsgodset
1–5
L
4 Oct
@ Bryne
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Ranheim
1–4
L
16 Sep
@ Gamle Oslo
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ hodd
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Moss – last 6
DWLDWL
14 Oct
vs Egersund
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Raufoss
2–1
W
5 Oct
vs Kongsvinger
0–2
L
23 Sep
@ Grorud
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Sandnes ULF
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Haugesund
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyn and Moss.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Lyn vs Moss?
On our numbers Lyn have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Moss 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lyn vs Moss?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyn vs Moss?
Our predicted score is Lyn 1–1 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Lyn vs Moss?
Lyn vs Moss (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Bislett Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
