Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Moss to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMoss to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceMoss or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.04
Raufoss vs Moss preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Raufoss take on Moss on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at NAMMO Stadion. Raufoss are 16th with 20 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Moss sit 13th on 32 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Raufoss's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Start 1–5 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Moss's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Kongsvinger 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Moss 1–2 Raufoss.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.2 for Raufoss and 2.6 for Moss. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Raufoss 13%, draw 23%, Moss 64%.
Safer route: Moss or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Moss to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Moss or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Raufoss 1–2 Moss. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raufoss13%fair 7.76 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.60
Moss64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
3.81Expected goals
1.22Raufoss xG
2.59Moss xG
65%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
0–16%
From our goals model: Raufoss 1.2 – 2.6 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Moss or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Raufoss vs Moss?
On our numbers Raufoss have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Moss 64%.
How many goals will there be in Raufoss vs Moss?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raufoss vs Moss?
Our predicted score is Raufoss 1–2 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Raufoss vs Moss?
Raufoss vs Moss (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at NAMMO Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
