Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Egersund to win @ 1.67 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEgersund to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceEgersund or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Egersund vs hodd preview and prediction
The match
hodd travel to XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena in the 1. Division on Sunday 11 October (16:00 WAT) to face Egersund. Egersund are 8th with 41 points from 30 games (in the top half), while hodd sit 10th on 39 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Egersund's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Ranheim 0–5 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
hodd's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to ODD Ballklubb 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished hodd 3–1 Egersund.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Egersund and 1.1 for hodd. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Egersund 67%, draw 19%, hodd 14%.
Safer route: Egersund or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Egersund to win at 1.67 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Egersund or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Egersund 2–1 hodd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Egersund67%fair 1.50 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.80
hodd14%fair 7.00 · @3.90
3.60Expected goals
2.49Egersund xG
1.11hodd xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Egersund 2.5 – 1.1 hodd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Egersund or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Egersund vs hodd?
On our numbers Egersund have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and hodd 14%.
How many goals will there be in Egersund vs hodd?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Egersund vs hodd?
Our predicted score is Egersund 2–1 hodd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Egersund vs hodd?
Egersund vs hodd (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
