Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Stabaek to win @ 1.68 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStabaek to win ✗66% · @1.68
Double chanceStabaek or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Strommen vs Stabaek preview and prediction
The match
Strommen host Stabaek in the 1. Division on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Strommen are 9th with 39 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Stabaek sit 4th on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Strommen's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Sandnes ULF 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Stabaek's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Egersund 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Stabaek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.1 for Strommen and 2.5 for Stabaek. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Strommen 15%, draw 18%, Stabaek 66%.
Safer route: Stabaek or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Stabaek to win at 1.68 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stabaek or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Strommen 1–2 Stabaek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Strommen15%fair 6.48 · @4.00
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @3.90
Stabaek66%fair 1.51 · @1.68
3.57Expected goals
1.12Strommen xG
2.45Stabaek xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–18%
0–37%
0–17%
From our goals model: Strommen 1.1 – 2.5 Stabaek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stabaek to win✗
66%
1.51
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Stabaek or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Half-time result
Stabaek ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stabaek / FT Stabaek✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
Strommen – last 6
LDLLLL
14 Jun
@ Sandnes ULF
0–2
L
7 Jun
@ Ranheim
2–2
D
31 May
vs Sogndal
2–3
L
25 May
@ Lyn
0–1
L
20 May
vs Haugesund
0–7
L
1 May
@ Stromsgodset
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stabaek – last 6
WDWDWD
14 Jun
vs Egersund
3–1
W
30 May
@ Moss
2–2
D
25 May
vs Kongsvinger
2–0
W
20 May
@ Sogndal
2–2
D
1 May
@ Lyn
4–0
W
19 Apr
@ ODD Ballklubb
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strommen and Stabaek.
Our pick is Stabaek or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Strommen vs Stabaek?
On our numbers Strommen have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Stabaek 66%.
How many goals will there be in Strommen vs Stabaek?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strommen vs Stabaek?
Our predicted score is Strommen 1–2 Stabaek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Strommen vs Stabaek?
Strommen vs Stabaek (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
