Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Moss to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMoss to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Moss vs Sandnes ULF preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Moss take on Sandnes ULF on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Moss are 13th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Sandnes ULF sit 12th on 33 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Moss's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Sogndal 4–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Sandnes ULF's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Strommen 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Moss and 1.2 for Sandnes ULF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moss 58%, draw 18%, Sandnes ULF 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Moss to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Moss 2–1 Sandnes ULF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moss58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @3.75
Sandnes ULF23%fair 4.30 · @3.35
3.30Expected goals
2.08Moss xG
1.22Sandnes ULF xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Moss 2.1 – 1.2 Sandnes ULF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moss to win✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Half-time result
Moss ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moss / FT Moss✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Moss – last 6
WDLDLW
14 Jun
@ Sogndal
4–2
W
30 May
vs Stabaek
2–2
D
25 May
@ Haugesund
1–3
L
20 May
vs Stromsgodset
1–1
D
1 May
@ Ranheim
0–4
L
6 Apr
@ Asane
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sandnes ULF – last 6
WLWLLW
14 Jun
vs Strommen
2–0
W
31 May
@ Ranheim
1–5
L
25 May
vs Sogndal
2–0
W
20 May
@ Asane
0–2
L
1 May
@ Haugesund
0–2
L
20 Apr
@ Lyn
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moss and Sandnes ULF.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Moss vs Sandnes ULF?
On our numbers Moss have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sandnes ULF 23%.
How many goals will there be in Moss vs Sandnes ULF?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moss vs Sandnes ULF?
Our predicted score is Moss 2–1 Sandnes ULF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Moss vs Sandnes ULF?
Moss vs Sandnes ULF (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
