Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStabaek to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Sogndal vs Stabaek preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Sogndal take on Stabaek on Wednesday 20 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Fosshaugane Campus. Sogndal are 14th with 31 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Stabaek sit 4th on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sogndal's last 4: DLDL Most recently they drew with Bryne 3–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Stabaek's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Lyn 4–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stabaek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Stabaek 1–0 Sogndal.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Sogndal and 1.9 for Stabaek. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sogndal 36%, draw 19%, Stabaek 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Sogndal 1–2 Stabaek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sogndal36%fair 2.78 · @2.65
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.65
Stabaek45%fair 2.23 · @2.20
3.54Expected goals
1.66Sogndal xG
1.88Stabaek xG
69%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Sogndal 1.7 – 1.9 Stabaek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Sogndal vs Stabaek?
On our numbers Sogndal have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stabaek 45%.
How many goals will there be in Sogndal vs Stabaek?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogndal vs Stabaek?
Our predicted score is Sogndal 1–2 Stabaek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sogndal vs Stabaek?
Sogndal vs Stabaek (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Fosshaugane Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
