Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStromsgodset to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Moss vs Stromsgodset preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Moss take on Stromsgodset on Wednesday 20 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Moss are 13th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Stromsgodset sit 1st on 66 points (top of the table). A gap of 34 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Moss's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Ranheim 0–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Stromsgodset's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Strommen 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Stromsgodset arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.3 for Moss and 2.4 for Stromsgodset. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Stromsgodset to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Moss 1–2 Stromsgodset. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moss21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
Draw14%fair 7.06 · @4.00
Stromsgodset65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
3.71Expected goals
1.29Moss xG
2.42Stromsgodset xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Moss 1.3 – 2.4 Stromsgodset expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stromsgodset to win✗
65%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.77
Half-time result
Stromsgodset ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stromsgodset / FT Stromsgodset✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.81
–
Form
Moss – last 6
LWLLLW
1 May
@ Ranheim
0–4
L
6 Apr
@ Asane
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Stabaek
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ ODD Ballklubb
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Mjondalen
2–3
L
17 Feb
vs Arendal
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stromsgodset – last 6
WWDWDL
1 May
vs Strommen
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Stabaek
2–1
W
27 Mar
vs Sandefjord
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Hønefoss
3–1
W
13 Mar
vs Mjondalen
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Valerenga
3–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moss and Stromsgodset.
Our pick is Stromsgodset to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Moss vs Stromsgodset?
On our numbers Moss have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Stromsgodset 65%.
How many goals will there be in Moss vs Stromsgodset?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moss vs Stromsgodset?
Our predicted score is Moss 1–2 Stromsgodset, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Moss vs Stromsgodset?
Moss vs Stromsgodset (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
