Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✗63% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.85
HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan preview and prediction
The match
HJK Helsinki host Gnistan in the Veikkausliiga on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Bolt Arena. HJK Helsinki are 2nd with 59 points from 32 games, while Gnistan sit 5th on 46 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
HJK Helsinki's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat FF Jaro 3–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gnistan's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Ilves 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for HJK Helsinki and 0.9 for Gnistan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HJK Helsinki 63%, draw 18%, Gnistan 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HJK Helsinki to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: HJK Helsinki 1–0 Gnistan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HJK Helsinki63%fair 1.60 · @1.60
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @4.00
Gnistan19%fair 5.17 · @4.60
2.83Expected goals
1.91HJK Helsinki xG
0.92Gnistan xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: HJK Helsinki 1.9 – 0.9 Gnistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HJK Helsinki to win✗
63%
1.60
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
HJK Helsinki ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HJK Helsinki / FT HJK Helsinki✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.85
–
Form
HJK Helsinki – last 6
WLWDLW
16 Aug
vs FF Jaro
3–0
W
13 Aug
@ Motherwell
0–2
L
9 Aug
@ AC Oulu
1–0
W
6 Aug
vs Motherwell
1–1
D
3 Aug
@ SJK
0–3
L
30 Jul
@ Coleraine FC
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gnistan – last 6
WDLWWW
17 Aug
vs Ilves
3–2
W
7 Aug
@ SJK
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs KuPS
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Inter Turku
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ AC Oulu
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Mariehamn
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HJK Helsinki and Gnistan.
What is the prediction for HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?
Our pick is HJK Helsinki to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?
On our numbers HJK Helsinki have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Gnistan 19%.
How many goals will there be in HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?
Our predicted score is HJK Helsinki 1–0 Gnistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?
HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Bolt Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
