Gnistan host KuPS in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Markku.fi Areena. Gnistan are 5th with 46 points from 32 games, while KuPS sit 3rd on 53 points.
Form guide
Gnistan's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Inter Turku 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
KuPS's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Sabah FA 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Gnistan and 1.7 for KuPS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gnistan 29%, draw 21%, KuPS 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Gnistan 1–1 KuPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gnistan29%fair 3.42 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.50
KuPS50%fair 1.99 · @2.08
2.88Expected goals
1.20Gnistan xG
1.68KuPS xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Gnistan 1.2 – 1.7 KuPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KuPS to win✓
50%
1.99
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KuPS / FT KuPS✓
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.53
–
Form
Gnistan – last 6
WWWLDD
26 Jul
@ Inter Turku
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ AC Oulu
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Mariehamn
4–2
W
4 Jul
@ Lahti
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs VPS
1–1
D
23 Jun
@ FF Jaro
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
KuPS – last 6
LWLWLW
28 Jul
vs Sabah FA
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs VPS
3–1
W
21 Jul
@ Sabah FA
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ SJK
2–0
W
14 Jul
vs Vardar Skopje
0–2
L
7 Jul
@ Vardar Skopje
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gnistan and KuPS.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gnistan vs KuPS?
On our numbers Gnistan have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and KuPS 50%.
How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs KuPS?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs KuPS?
Our predicted score is Gnistan 1–1 KuPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gnistan vs KuPS?
Gnistan vs KuPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
