Turku PS host Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Veritas Stadion. Turku PS are 3rd with 32 points from 27 games, while Mariehamn sit 6th on 19 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Turku PS's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to HJK Helsinki 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Mariehamn's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with AC Oulu 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Turku PS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Turku PS and 0.7 for Mariehamn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Turku PS 69%, draw 20%, Mariehamn 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Turku PS to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.52, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Turku PS 2–0 Mariehamn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Turku PS69%fair 1.44 · @1.52
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.10
Mariehamn10%fair 9.81 · @5.40
2.75Expected goals
2.08Turku PS xG
0.67Mariehamn xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: Turku PS 2.1 – 0.7 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turku PS to win✓
69%
1.44
1.52 ▲
Double chance
Turku PS or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Half-time result
Turku PS ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turku PS / FT Turku PS✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.24
–
Form
Turku PS – last 6
LLWLWD
26 Jul
@ HJK Helsinki
0–1
L
20 Jul
vs Ilves
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs AC Oulu
3–0
W
4 Jul
@ SJK
1–3
L
27 Jun
vs FF Jaro
3–2
W
23 Jun
@ Lahti
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mariehamn – last 6
DLLLLL
25 Jul
vs AC Oulu
1–1
D
20 Jul
vs Lahti
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Gnistan
2–4
L
4 Jul
@ VPS
0–4
L
27 Jun
vs Inter Turku
0–2
L
23 Jun
vs HJK Helsinki
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Turku PS and Mariehamn.
Our pick is Turku PS to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Turku PS vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers Turku PS have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mariehamn 10%.
How many goals will there be in Turku PS vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Turku PS vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is Turku PS 2–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Turku PS vs Mariehamn?
Turku PS vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Veritas Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
