VPS travel to Markku.fi Areena in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 27 June (17:00 WAT) to face Gnistan. Gnistan are 5th with 46 points from 32 games, while VPS sit 6th on 40 points.
Form guide
Gnistan's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with FF Jaro 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
VPS's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat AC Oulu 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Gnistan and 1.2 for VPS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gnistan 41%, draw 24%, VPS 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Gnistan 1–1 VPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gnistan41%fair 2.41 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.25
VPS35%fair 2.89 · @2.62
2.60Expected goals
1.37Gnistan xG
1.23VPS xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gnistan 1.4 – 1.2 VPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gnistan to win✗
41%
2.41
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gnistan / FT Gnistan✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.81
–
Form
Gnistan – last 6
DWWWLW
23 Jun
@ FF Jaro
1–1
D
17 Jun
vs Lahti
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Mariehamn
3–0
W
30 May
vs SJK
3–2
W
23 May
@ Ilves
0–2
L
5 May
vs Inter Turku
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
VPS – last 6
WWDDLW
23 Jun
vs AC Oulu
5–1
W
17 Jun
@ SJK
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs KuPS
1–1
D
10 Jun
@ KuPS
0–0
D
30 May
@ Turku PS
0–1
L
26 May
vs Haka
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gnistan and VPS.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gnistan vs VPS?
On our numbers Gnistan have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and VPS 35%.
How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs VPS?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs VPS?
Our predicted score is Gnistan 1–1 VPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gnistan vs VPS?
Gnistan vs VPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
