Value bet: KuPS to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✗39% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80
HJK Helsinki vs KuPS preview and prediction
The match
HJK Helsinki host KuPS in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 27 June, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Bolt Arena. HJK Helsinki are 2nd with 59 points from 32 games, while KuPS sit 3rd on 53 points.
Form guide
HJK Helsinki's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Mariehamn 4–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 5.2 per game.
KuPS's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Ilves 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
HJK Helsinki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished KuPS 1–1 HJK Helsinki.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for HJK Helsinki and 1.4 for KuPS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HJK Helsinki 39%, draw 23%, KuPS 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Value angle: KuPS to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: HJK Helsinki 1–1 KuPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HJK Helsinki39%fair 2.53 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.35
KuPS38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
2.83Expected goals
1.43HJK Helsinki xG
1.39KuPS xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: HJK Helsinki 1.4 – 1.4 KuPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?
On our numbers HJK Helsinki have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and KuPS 38%.
How many goals will there be in HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?
Our predicted score is HJK Helsinki 1–1 KuPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is HJK Helsinki vs KuPS?
HJK Helsinki vs KuPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bolt Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
