Value bet: KuPS to win @ 1.66 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKuPS to win ✓66% · @1.66
Double chanceKuPS or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.57
Turku PS vs KuPS preview and prediction
The match
The Veikkausliiga sees Turku PS take on KuPS on Wednesday 17 June, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Veritas Stadium. Turku PS are 3rd with 32 points from 27 games, while KuPS sit 3rd on 53 points. A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Turku PS's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Ilves 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
KuPS's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with VPS 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
KuPS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Turku PS and 1.8 for KuPS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Turku PS 15%, draw 20%, KuPS 66%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: KuPS to win at 1.66 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Turku PS 0–1 KuPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Turku PS15%fair 6.84 · @4.85
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.55
KuPS66%fair 1.52 · @1.66
2.47Expected goals
0.67Turku PS xG
1.80KuPS xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Turku PS 0.7 – 1.8 KuPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KuPS to win✓
66%
1.52
1.66 ▲
Double chance
KuPS or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Half-time result
KuPS ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KuPS / FT KuPS✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.57
–
Form
Turku PS – last 6
LWLLWD
13 Jun
@ Ilves
0–1
L
30 May
vs VPS
1–0
W
27 May
@ Ilves
0–1
L
23 May
@ Inter Turku
1–2
L
13 May
vs HJS Akatemia
3–0
W
24 Apr
vs Gnistan
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
KuPS – last 6
DDDWWW
13 Jun
@ VPS
1–1
D
10 Jun
vs VPS
0–0
D
30 May
vs Inter Turku
1–1
D
26 May
@ JäPS
1–0
W
23 May
vs Lahti
2–1
W
20 May
vs FF Jaro
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Turku PS and KuPS.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Turku PS vs KuPS?
On our numbers Turku PS have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and KuPS 66%.
How many goals will there be in Turku PS vs KuPS?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Turku PS vs KuPS?
Our predicted score is Turku PS 0–1 KuPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Turku PS vs KuPS?
Turku PS vs KuPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Veritas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
