Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win ✓66% · @1.55
Double chanceIlves or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.80
Ilves vs FF Jaro preview and prediction
The match
Ilves host FF Jaro in the Veikkausliiga on Wednesday 17 June, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Tammela Stadium. Ilves are 2nd with 38 points from 27 games, while FF Jaro sit 5th on 21 points. A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ilves's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Turku PS 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FF Jaro's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to HJK Helsinki 2–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Ilves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Ilves and 0.9 for FF Jaro. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilves 66%, draw 21%, FF Jaro 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ilves 2–0 FF Jaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilves66%fair 1.50 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.00
FF Jaro12%fair 8.06 · @5.10
3.04Expected goals
2.18Ilves xG
0.86FF Jaro xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ilves 2.2 – 0.9 FF Jaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ilves to win✓
66%
1.50
1.55
Double chance
Ilves or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Half-time result
Ilves ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ilves / FT Ilves✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.80
–
Form
Ilves – last 6
WWLWWL
13 Jun
vs Turku PS
1–0
W
10 Jun
vs Lahti
5–2
W
30 May
@ Lahti
0–5
L
27 May
vs Turku PS
1–0
W
23 May
vs Gnistan
2–0
W
20 May
vs Inter Turku
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FF Jaro – last 6
LLWLLL
13 Jun
vs HJK Helsinki
2–5
L
31 May
@ AC Oulu
1–2
L
23 May
vs Mariehamn
3–0
W
20 May
@ KuPS
0–3
L
13 May
@ VJS
3–5
L
9 May
@ Inter Turku
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilves and FF Jaro.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ilves vs FF Jaro?
On our numbers Ilves have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FF Jaro 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs FF Jaro?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs FF Jaro?
Our predicted score is Ilves 2–0 FF Jaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs FF Jaro?
Ilves vs FF Jaro (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
