Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ilves to win @ 1.82 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win ✓63% · @1.82
Double chanceIlves or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.55
Ilves vs Turku PS preview and prediction
The match
Ilves host Turku PS in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 13 June, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Tammela Stadium. Ilves are 2nd with 38 points from 27 games, while Turku PS sit 3rd on 32 points.
Form guide
Ilves's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Lahti 5–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Turku PS's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat VPS 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 May 2026, finished Ilves 1–0 Turku PS.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Ilves and 0.9 for Turku PS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilves 63%, draw 21%, Turku PS 16%.
Safer route: Ilves or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Ilves to win at 1.82 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ilves or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ilves 1–0 Turku PS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilves63%fair 1.58 · @1.82
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.70
Turku PS16%fair 6.40 · @3.70
2.82Expected goals
1.96Ilves xG
0.86Turku PS xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Ilves 2.0 – 0.9 Turku PS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Ilves or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ilves vs Turku PS?
On our numbers Ilves have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Turku PS 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Turku PS?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Turku PS?
Our predicted score is Ilves 1–0 Turku PS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs Turku PS?
Ilves vs Turku PS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
