Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 58% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVPS to win ✗60% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.72
VPS vs FF Jaro preview and prediction
The match
VPS host FF Jaro in the Veikkausliiga on Friday 10 April, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Lemonsoft Stadion. VPS are 6th with 40 points from 32 games, while FF Jaro sit 5th on 21 points. A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
VPS's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Inter Turku 0–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FF Jaro's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to AC Oulu 2–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.2 for VPS and 0.5 for FF Jaro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: VPS 60%, draw 18%, FF Jaro 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.20 – 58% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.31, so there is value in it. Predicted score: VPS 1–0 FF Jaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VPS60%fair 1.68 · @1.92
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @3.60
FF Jaro23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
1.75Expected goals
1.22VPS xG
0.53FF Jaro xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: VPS 1.2 – 0.5 FF Jaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VPS to win✗
60%
1.68
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.48 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VPS / FT VPS✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.72
–
Form
VPS – last 3
DLW
4 Apr
@ Inter Turku
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ SJK
6–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FF Jaro – last 3
LLW
28 Mar
vs AC Oulu
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ SJK
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ KuPS
4–3
W
2.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VPS and FF Jaro.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win VPS vs FF Jaro?
On our numbers VPS have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FF Jaro 23%.
How many goals will there be in VPS vs FF Jaro?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VPS vs FF Jaro?
Our predicted score is VPS 1–0 FF Jaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is VPS vs FF Jaro?
VPS vs FF Jaro (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemonsoft Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
