Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSJK to win ✓63% · @1.65
Double chanceSJK or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.94
SJK vs Mariehamn preview and prediction
The match
SJK host Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga on Friday 10 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at OmaSp Stadion. SJK are 4th with 27 points from 27 games, while Mariehamn sit 6th on 19 points.
Form guide
SJK's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to HJK Helsinki 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for SJK and 0.9 for Mariehamn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 59%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: SJK 63%, draw 21%, Mariehamn 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SJK to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SJK 1–0 Mariehamn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SJK63%fair 1.58 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.45
Mariehamn16%fair 6.24 · @5.20
2.88Expected goals
1.99SJK xG
0.89Mariehamn xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: SJK 2.0 – 0.9 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SJK to win✓
63%
1.58
1.65
Double chance
SJK or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Half-time result
SJK ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SJK / FT SJK✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.94
–
Form
SJK – last 5
LLWLL
4 Apr
@ HJK Helsinki
0–3
L
21 Mar
@ HJK Helsinki
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs FF Jaro
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs VPS
0–6
L
18 Feb
@ Ilves
1–3
L
0.6Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Mariehamn – last 1
W
5 Mar
vs Lahti
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SJK and Mariehamn.
Our pick is SJK to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win SJK vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers SJK have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mariehamn 16%.
How many goals will there be in SJK vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SJK vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is SJK 1–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is SJK vs Mariehamn?
SJK vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at OmaSp Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
