Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Mariehamn to win @ 1.82 – our chance 66% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMariehamn to win66% · @1.82
Double chanceMariehamn or draw87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–011% · fair 8.78
Mariehamn vs Turku PS preview and prediction
The match
Turku PS travel to Wiklof Holding Arena in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 4 April (15:00 WAT) to face Mariehamn. Mariehamn are 6th with 19 points from 27 games, while Turku PS sit 3rd on 32 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Turku PS's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat PK-35 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Mariehamn and 0.9 for Turku PS. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mariehamn 66%, draw 21%, Turku PS 13%.
Safer route: Mariehamn or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Mariehamn to win at 1.82 – 66% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Mariehamn 2–0 Turku PS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mariehamn66%fair 1.52 · @1.82
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.65
Turku PS13%fair 7.68 · @3.75
3.00Expected goals
2.13Mariehamn xG
0.86Turku PS xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Mariehamn 2.1 – 0.9 Turku PS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mariehamn to win
66%
1.52
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Mariehamn or draw
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.50
Half-time result
Mariehamn ahead at half-time
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mariehamn / FT Mariehamn
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
11%
8.78
–
Form
Mariehamn – last 1
W
5 Mar
vs Lahti
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Turku PS – last 3
WLL
27 Mar
vs PK-35
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ HJK helsinki
1–3
L
14 Feb
vs Gnistan
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mariehamn and Turku PS.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
On our numbers Mariehamn have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Turku PS 13%.
How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
Our predicted score is Mariehamn 2–0 Turku PS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
Mariehamn vs Turku PS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Wiklof Holding Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
