Value bet: Ilves to win @ 2.16 – our chance 55% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win55% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 10.02
Ilves vs KuPS preview and prediction
The match
Ilves host KuPS in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Tammela Stadium. Ilves are 2nd with 38 points from 27 games, while KuPS sit 3rd on 53 points. A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ilves's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with AC Oulu 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
KuPS's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Lech Poznan 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ilves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished KuPS 0–1 Ilves.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for Ilves and 1.1 for KuPS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilves 55%, draw 21%, KuPS 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Ilves to win at 2.16 – 55% on our numbers against 46% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ilves 1–1 KuPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilves55%fair 1.81 · @2.16
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
KuPS24%fair 4.16 · @3.00
2.89Expected goals
1.80Ilves xG
1.09KuPS xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Ilves 1.8 – 1.1 KuPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ilves vs KuPS?
On our numbers Ilves have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and KuPS 24%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs KuPS?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs KuPS?
Our predicted score is Ilves 1–1 KuPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs KuPS?
Ilves vs KuPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
