Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Lillestrom to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLillestrom to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Start vs Lillestrom preview and prediction
The match
Start host Lillestrom in the Eliteserien on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Start are 16th with 19 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Lillestrom sit 4th on 45 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Start's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Sandefjord 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Lillestrom's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Sogndal 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Start and 1.7 for Lillestrom. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Start 32%, draw 21%, Lillestrom 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Lillestrom to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Start 1–1 Lillestrom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Start32%fair 3.12 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
Lillestrom47%fair 2.12 · @2.30
3.08Expected goals
1.36Start xG
1.72Lillestrom xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Start 1.4 – 1.7 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lillestrom to win✓
47%
2.12
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom✓
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.83
–
Form
Start – last 6
WLLWLW
25 Oct
vs Sandefjord
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Molde
1–6
L
11 Oct
vs Ham-Kam
2–4
L
6 Oct
@ Raufoss
5–1
W
20 Sep
@ Sandefjord
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Vindbjart
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
WWLWDD
28 Oct
vs Sogndal
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Brann
3–2
W
22 Oct
vs Real Sociedad
0–6
L
18 Oct
@ Sandefjord
2–0
W
15 Oct
@ Sparta Praha
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Molde
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Start and Lillestrom.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Start vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers Start have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lillestrom 47%.
How many goals will there be in Start vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Start vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is Start 1–1 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Start vs Lillestrom?
Start vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
