Eliteserien · Norway · Intility ArenaValerenga vs Tromso prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Valerenga 1.7 – 1.7 Tromso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Valerenga and Tromso on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Valerenga have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Tromso have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.7 for Valerenga, 1.7 for Tromso). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Valerenga have won 0, Tromso have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tromso to win ✗ | 39% | 2.53 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tromso / FT Tromso ✗ | 24% | 4.25 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.06 | – |
Form
Valerenga – last 6
| 28 Oct | @ Sarpsborg 08 FF | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ BodoGlimt | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Brann | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ KFUM Oslo | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Fredrikstad | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Sep | @ Skeid | 4–1 | W |
Tromso – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Haugesund | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Viking | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs KFUM Oslo | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Fredrikstad | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Ham-Kam | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Alta | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 11 Jul 2026 | Tromso v Valerenga | 4–0 |
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 26 | +42 | 62 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 26 | +40 | 62 |
| 3 |  Rosenborg | 26 | +21 | 46 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 26 | +4 | 45 |
| 5 |  Molde | 26 | +20 | 44 |
| 6 |  Tromso | 26 | +3 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 26 | +3 | 33 |
| 8 |  Valerenga | 26 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 26 | -10 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 26 | -13 | 31 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 26 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 |  Fredrikstad | 26 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 26 | -8 | 28 |
| 14 |  Kristiansund BK | 26 | -21 | 26 |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 26 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 |  Start | 26 | -32 | 19 |
More Eliteserien predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Valerenga vs Tromso?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Valerenga vs Tromso?
On our numbers Valerenga have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tromso 39%.
How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Tromso?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is Valerenga vs Tromso?
Valerenga vs Tromso (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.