Start travel to Aker Stadion in the Eliteserien on Sunday 18 October (16:00 WAT) to face Molde. Molde are 5th with 44 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Start sit 16th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Molde's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Lillestrom 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Start's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Ham-Kam 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Molde arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Molde and 1.0 for Start. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Molde 69%, draw 19%, Start 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Molde to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Molde 2–0 Start. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molde69%fair 1.44 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @5.00
Start11%fair 8.96 · @7.00
3.45Expected goals
2.49Molde xG
0.96Start xG
60%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Molde 2.5 – 1.0 Start expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Double chance
Molde or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Molde ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Molde – last 6
DWLWWW
11 Oct
@ Lillestrom
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Aalesund
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ TryggLade
5–0
W
13 Sep
@ Ham-Kam
5–1
W
6 Sep
vs KFUM Oslo
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Start – last 6
LWLWWL
11 Oct
vs Ham-Kam
2–4
L
6 Oct
@ Raufoss
5–1
W
20 Sep
@ Sandefjord
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Vindbjart
3–2
W
13 Sep
vs Brann
2–0
W
4 Sep
@ Aalesund
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molde and Start.
Our pick is Molde to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Molde vs Start?
On our numbers Molde have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Start 11%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Start?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Start?
Our predicted score is Molde 2–0 Start, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Start?
Molde vs Start (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
