Eliteserien · Norway · Jotun ArenaSandefjord vs Lillestrom prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sandefjord 1.3 – 1.3 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Sandefjord and Lillestrom on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Sandefjord have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Lillestrom have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Sandefjord, 1.3 for Lillestrom). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.70.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lillestrom to win ✓ | 39% | 2.59 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom ✓ | 21% | 4.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.85 | – |
Form
Sandefjord – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Rosenborg | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | @ Flint | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Start | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | @ BodoGlimt | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Viking | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Brann | 0–0 | D |
Lillestrom – last 6
| 15 Oct | @ Sparta Praha | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Molde | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Oct | @ Bærum | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Viking | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | vs Torreense | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Valerenga | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sandefjord and Lillestrom.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 26 | +42 | 62 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 26 | +40 | 62 |
| 3 |  Rosenborg | 26 | +21 | 46 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 26 | +4 | 45 |
| 5 |  Molde | 26 | +20 | 44 |
| 6 |  Tromso | 26 | +3 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 26 | +3 | 33 |
| 8 |  Valerenga | 26 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 26 | -10 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 26 | -13 | 31 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 26 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 |  Fredrikstad | 26 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 26 | -8 | 28 |
| 14 |  Kristiansund BK | 26 | -21 | 26 |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 26 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 |  Start | 26 | -32 | 19 |
More Eliteserien predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sandefjord vs Lillestrom?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers Sandefjord have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lillestrom 39%.
How many goals will there be in Sandefjord vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Sandefjord vs Lillestrom?
Sandefjord vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Jotun Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.