Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Fredrikstad to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFredrikstad to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.45
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Fredrikstad take on Sarpsborg 08 FF on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 18:15 (WAT) at Fredrikstad Stadion. Fredrikstad are 12th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fredrikstad's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to BodoGlimt 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Valerenga 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Fredrikstad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Fredrikstad. Across their last 2 meetings Fredrikstad have won 1, Sarpsborg 08 FF 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Fredrikstad and 1.2 for Sarpsborg 08 FF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Fredrikstad to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Fredrikstad 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fredrikstad47%fair 2.15 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Sarpsborg 08 FF32%fair 3.09 · @2.75
2.63Expected goals
1.47Fredrikstad xG
1.16Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fredrikstad 1.5 – 1.2 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
On our numbers Fredrikstad have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 32%.
How many goals will there be in Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our predicted score is Fredrikstad 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Fredrikstad Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
