Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Molde to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolde to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceMolde or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Ham-Kam vs Molde preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Ham-Kam take on Molde on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Briskeby Arena. Ham-Kam are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Molde sit 5th on 44 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ham-Kam's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Rosenborg 0–4 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Molde's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat KFUM Oslo 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game.
Molde arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for Ham-Kam and 2.3 for Molde. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ham-Kam 16%, draw 21%, Molde 63%.
Safer route: Molde or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Molde to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Molde or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ham-Kam 1–2 Molde. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ham-Kam16%fair 6.20 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.90
Molde63%fair 1.60 · @1.70
3.39Expected goals
1.11Ham-Kam xG
2.28Molde xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Ham-Kam 1.1 – 2.3 Molde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✓
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Molde or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Molde ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Ham-Kam – last 6
LDWLDW
5 Sep
@ Rosenborg
0–4
L
30 Aug
vs Kristiansund BK
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Trysil FK
5–0
W
16 Aug
@ Brann
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Aalesund
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Valerenga
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Molde – last 6
WWWWLD
6 Sep
vs KFUM Oslo
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Valerenga
4–3
W
22 Aug
@ Midsund
11–0
W
16 Aug
vs Tromso
3–2
W
9 Aug
@ Kristiansund BK
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
3–3
D
4.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ham-Kam and Molde.
Our pick is Molde or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Molde?
On our numbers Ham-Kam have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Molde 63%.
How many goals will there be in Ham-Kam vs Molde?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ham-Kam vs Molde?
Our predicted score is Ham-Kam 1–2 Molde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Ham-Kam vs Molde?
Ham-Kam vs Molde (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Briskeby Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
