Value bet: Molde to win @ 2.33 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolde to win ✓46% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Valerenga vs Molde preview and prediction
The match
Valerenga host Molde in the Eliteserien on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Intility Arena. Valerenga are 8th with 32 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Molde sit 5th on 44 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Valerenga's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Christiania BK 7–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game.
Molde's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Midsund 11–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Molde 5–1 Valerenga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for Valerenga and 1.9 for Molde. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valerenga 35%, draw 19%, Molde 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Molde to win at 2.33 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Valerenga 1–1 Molde. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valerenga35%fair 2.83 · @2.60
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.90
Molde46%fair 2.19 · @2.33
3.53Expected goals
1.64Valerenga xG
1.89Molde xG
70%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Valerenga 1.6 – 1.9 Molde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Valerenga vs Molde?
On our numbers Valerenga have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Molde 46%.
How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Molde?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valerenga vs Molde?
Our predicted score is Valerenga 1–1 Molde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Valerenga vs Molde?
Valerenga vs Molde (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
