Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultValerenga to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Aalesund vs Valerenga preview and prediction
The match
Aalesund host Valerenga in the Eliteserien on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Color Line Stadion. Aalesund are 15th with 24 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Valerenga sit 8th on 32 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Aalesund's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Ham-Kam 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Valerenga's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to BodoGlimt 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Valerenga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 July 2026, finished Valerenga 6–1 Aalesund.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for Aalesund and 1.9 for Valerenga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Aalesund 1–2 Valerenga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aalesund33%fair 3.02 · @2.80
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.90
Valerenga48%fair 2.09 · @2.20
3.46Expected goals
1.55Aalesund xG
1.91Valerenga xG
70%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Aalesund 1.6 – 1.9 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Aalesund vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Aalesund have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Valerenga 48%.
How many goals will there be in Aalesund vs Valerenga?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalesund vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Aalesund 1–2 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Aalesund vs Valerenga?
Aalesund vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Color Line Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
