Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolde to win ✗65% · @1.60
Double chanceMolde or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.37
Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF preview and prediction
The match
Sarpsborg 08 FF travel to Aker Stadion in the Eliteserien on Sunday 2 August (16:00 WAT) to face Molde. Molde are 5th with 44 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Molde's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat KFUM Oslo 4–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Ham-Kam 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Molde.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Molde and 0.9 for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Molde to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Molde 2–0 Sarpsborg 08 FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molde65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.20
Sarpsborg 08 FF17%fair 5.99 · @4.80
3.02Expected goals
2.09Molde xG
0.93Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Molde 2.1 – 0.9 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our pick is Molde to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
On our numbers Molde have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 17%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our predicted score is Molde 2–0 Sarpsborg 08 FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.