Thursday, 12 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Eliteserien · Norway · Aker Stadion

Molde

WLDLL
3–3
FT

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Molde to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMolde to win ✗65% · @1.60
Double chanceMolde or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.37

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF preview and prediction

The match

Sarpsborg 08 FF travel to Aker Stadion in the Eliteserien on Sunday 2 August (16:00 WAT) to face Molde. Molde are 5th with 44 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Molde's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat KFUM Oslo 4–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Ham-Kam 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Molde.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Molde and 0.9 for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Molde to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Molde 2–0 Sarpsborg 08 FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Molde65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.20
Sarpsborg 08 FF17%fair 5.99 · @4.80
3.02Expected goals
2.09Molde xG
0.93Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Molde 2.1 – 0.9 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMolde to win ✗65%1.541.60
Double chanceMolde or draw ✓83%1.201.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.45
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.231.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.681.73
Half-time resultMolde ahead at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Molde / FT Molde ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%9.37–

Form

Molde – last 6

WLDLLW
26 Jul@ KFUM Oslo4–2W
18 Julvs Brann1–2L
11 Jul@ Aalesund2–2D
5 Jul@ Rosenborg1–2L
28 Junvs BodoGlimt1–4L
21 Junvs KFUM Oslo5–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6

WDWWWW
26 Julvs Ham-Kam1–0W
18 Jul@ Kristiansund BK0–0D
12 Julvs Viking1–0W
29 May@ Brann2–1W
25 Mayvs Molde2–1W
9 Mayvs Fredrikstad2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 May 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF v Molde2–1
Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Our pick is Molde to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

On our numbers Molde have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 17%.

How many goals will there be in Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Our predicted score is Molde 2–0 Sarpsborg 08 FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.