Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Tromso to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTromso to win ✓63% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Aalesund vs Tromso preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Aalesund take on Tromso on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Color Line Stadion. Aalesund are 15th with 24 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Tromso sit 6th on 40 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Aalesund's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Viking 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Tromso's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Hradec Králové 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished Tromso 1–1 Aalesund.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.1 for Aalesund and 2.0 for Tromso. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aalesund 24%, draw 13%, Tromso 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Tromso to win at 1.90 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Aalesund 1–1 Tromso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aalesund24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
Draw13%fair 7.51 · @3.70
Tromso63%fair 1.59 · @1.90
3.02Expected goals
1.06Aalesund xG
1.97Tromso xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Aalesund 1.1 – 2.0 Tromso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aalesund vs Tromso?
On our numbers Aalesund have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Tromso 63%.
How many goals will there be in Aalesund vs Tromso?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalesund vs Tromso?
Our predicted score is Aalesund 1–1 Tromso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aalesund vs Tromso?
Aalesund vs Tromso (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Color Line Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
