Value bet: Rosenborg to win @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosenborg to win ✓51% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Start vs Rosenborg preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Start take on Rosenborg on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Sparebanken Sør Arena. Start are 16th with 19 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Rosenborg sit 3rd on 46 points (in the top four). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Start's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Brann 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rosenborg's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Kristiansund BK 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Rosenborg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 February 2026, finished Rosenborg 2–1 Start.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Start and 1.7 for Rosenborg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Start 29%, draw 20%, Rosenborg 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Rosenborg to win at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Start 1–1 Rosenborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Start29%fair 3.48 · @2.95
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.55
Rosenborg51%fair 1.97 · @2.20
2.93Expected goals
1.21Start xG
1.71Rosenborg xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Start 1.2 – 1.7 Rosenborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Start vs Rosenborg?
On our numbers Start have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rosenborg 51%.
How many goals will there be in Start vs Rosenborg?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Start vs Rosenborg?
Our predicted score is Start 1–1 Rosenborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Start vs Rosenborg?
Start vs Rosenborg (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sparebanken Sør Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
