Value bet: Ham-Kam to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTromso to win ✓46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.90
Ham-Kam vs Tromso preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Ham-Kam take on Tromso on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Briskeby Arena. Ham-Kam are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Tromso sit 6th on 40 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ham-Kam's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Sandefjord 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tromso's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Valerenga 4–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ham-Kam arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Ham-Kam and 1.5 for Tromso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ham-Kam 32%, draw 22%, Tromso 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Ham-Kam to win at 3.35 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Ham-Kam 1–1 Tromso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ham-Kam32%fair 3.10 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Tromso46%fair 2.19 · @2.15
2.69Expected goals
1.20Ham-Kam xG
1.49Tromso xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ham-Kam 1.2 – 1.5 Tromso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tromso to win✓
46%
2.19
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tromso / FT Tromso✓
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.90
–
Form
Ham-Kam – last 6
DWDWWW
12 Jul
@ Sandefjord
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ IFK Goteborg
2–1
W
29 May
@ Aalesund
2–2
D
25 May
vs Lillestrom
2–0
W
8 May
vs Valerenga
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs KFUM Oslo
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tromso – last 6
WDDLWD
11 Jul
vs Valerenga
4–0
W
29 May
@ KFUM Oslo
0–0
D
25 May
vs Aalesund
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Brann
0–5
L
19 Apr
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Lillestrom
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ham-Kam and Tromso.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Tromso?
On our numbers Ham-Kam have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tromso 46%.
How many goals will there be in Ham-Kam vs Tromso?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ham-Kam vs Tromso?
Our predicted score is Ham-Kam 1–1 Tromso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ham-Kam vs Tromso?
Ham-Kam vs Tromso (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Briskeby Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
