Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Viking to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultViking to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceViking or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Sarpsborg 08 FF take on Viking on Sunday 12 July, kicking off at 18:15 (WAT) at Sarpsborg Stadion. Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th with 31 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Viking sit 1st on 62 points (top of the table). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Brann 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Viking's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Sonderjyske 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 2.2 for Viking. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Viking to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Viking or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–2 Viking. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarpsborg 08 FF15%fair 6.74 · @4.10
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.00
Viking63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
3.24Expected goals
1.02Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
2.22Viking xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.0 – 2.2 Viking expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Viking to win✗
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Viking or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Half-time result
Viking ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Viking / FT Viking✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6
WWWLLD
29 May
@ Brann
2–1
W
25 May
vs Molde
2–1
W
9 May
vs Fredrikstad
2–1
W
3 May
@ Lillestrom
0–4
L
19 Apr
vs Tromso
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs BodoGlimt
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Viking – last 6
DWWWWL
3 Jul
@ Sonderjyske
1–1
D
24 May
@ Kristiansund BK
2–1
W
1 May
vs Rosenborg
3–0
W
6 Apr
@ Valerenga
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Haugesund
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Aalesund
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Viking.
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking?
Our pick is Viking or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking?
On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Viking 63%.
How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking?
Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–2 Viking, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking?
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
