Value bet: Sandefjord to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSandefjord to win ✗65% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.58
Sandefjord vs Ham-Kam preview and prediction
The match
Sandefjord host Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Jotun Arena. Sandefjord are 13th with 28 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Ham-Kam sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sandefjord's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Molde 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ham-Kam's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat IFK Goteborg 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ham-Kam arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Sandefjord and 0.9 for Ham-Kam. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Sandefjord to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sandefjord 2–0 Ham-Kam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sandefjord65%fair 1.53 · @1.90
Draw15%fair 6.65 · @3.75
Ham-Kam20%fair 5.06 · @3.60
2.80Expected goals
1.93Sandefjord xG
0.88Ham-Kam xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Sandefjord 1.9 – 0.9 Ham-Kam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sandefjord to win✗
65%
1.53
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.45
Half-time result
Sandefjord ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sandefjord / FT Sandefjord✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.58
–
Form
Sandefjord – last 6
LDWDLL
30 May
@ Molde
1–2
L
25 May
vs Fredrikstad
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ KFUM Oslo
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Stromsgodset
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Valerenga
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ham-Kam – last 6
WDWWWL
27 Jun
@ IFK Goteborg
2–1
W
29 May
@ Aalesund
2–2
D
25 May
vs Lillestrom
2–0
W
8 May
vs Valerenga
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs KFUM Oslo
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs Brann
1–5
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sandefjord and Ham-Kam.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Ham-Kam?
On our numbers Sandefjord have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ham-Kam 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sandefjord vs Ham-Kam?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sandefjord vs Ham-Kam?
Our predicted score is Sandefjord 2–0 Ham-Kam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sandefjord vs Ham-Kam?
Sandefjord vs Ham-Kam (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Jotun Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
