Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✓57% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.35
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund preview and prediction
The match
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Aalesund in the Eliteserien on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Sarpsborg Stadion. Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th with 31 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Aalesund sit 15th on 24 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Rosenborg 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Aalesund's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Kristiansund BK 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished Aalesund 2–4 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.0 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 1.3 for Aalesund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Aalesund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarpsborg 08 FF57%fair 1.76 · @1.83
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @3.75
Aalesund25%fair 3.97 · @3.60
3.30Expected goals
2.03Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
1.27Aalesund xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.0 – 1.3 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?
On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aalesund 25%.
How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?
Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
