Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolde to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Molde vs Fredrikstad preview and prediction
The match
Molde host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Aker Stadion. Molde are 5th with 44 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Fredrikstad sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Molde's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Start 6–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.
Fredrikstad's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Viking 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Molde arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Molde and 1.1 for Fredrikstad. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Molde 2–1 Fredrikstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molde62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @4.60
Fredrikstad21%fair 4.72 · @5.50
3.28Expected goals
2.14Molde xG
1.14Fredrikstad xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Molde 2.1 – 1.1 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Molde ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Form
Molde – last 6
WDWLWW
18 Oct
vs Start
6–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lillestrom
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Aalesund
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ TryggLade
5–0
W
13 Sep
@ Ham-Kam
5–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Fredrikstad – last 6
LDDWDL
17 Oct
@ Viking
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Tromso
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Valerenga
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Stjørdals-Blink
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molde and Fredrikstad.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Molde vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Molde have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Fredrikstad 21%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Molde 2–1 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Fredrikstad?
Molde vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
