Value bet: Lillestrom to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLillestrom to win ✗48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Rosenborg vs Lillestrom preview and prediction
The match
Rosenborg host Lillestrom in the Eliteserien on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Lerkendal Stadion. Rosenborg are 3rd with 46 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Lillestrom sit 4th on 45 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rosenborg's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Viking 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Lillestrom's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lillestrom arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Rosenborg and 1.5 for Lillestrom. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Lillestrom to win at 2.30 – 48% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Rosenborg 1–1 Lillestrom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rosenborg32%fair 3.15 · @2.85
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.55
Lillestrom48%fair 2.10 · @2.30
2.62Expected goals
1.14Rosenborg xG
1.48Lillestrom xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rosenborg 1.1 – 1.5 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lillestrom to win✗
48%
2.10
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Rosenborg – last 6
LLLDLW
1 May
@ Viking
0–3
L
6 Apr
@ Tromso
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Valerenga
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Bryne
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Valerenga
0–1
L
24 Feb
vs Start
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
WDWLWD
3 May
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
4–0
W
15 Apr
@ Tromso
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Molde
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Orgryte IS
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Aalesund
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Tromso
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosenborg and Lillestrom.
What is the prediction for Rosenborg vs Lillestrom?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rosenborg vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers Rosenborg have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lillestrom 48%.
How many goals will there be in Rosenborg vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosenborg vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is Rosenborg 1–1 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rosenborg vs Lillestrom?
Rosenborg vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Lerkendal Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
